Ethiopia has accused Eritrea, the TPLF faction, and other armed groups of plotting a major offensive during the rainy season, raising regional security concerns. Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed delivered a comprehensive speech to the parliament, emphasizing Ethiopia's pursuit of peace and its stance against conflict, despite ongoing tensions with Eritrea. The Prime Minister reiterated Ethiopia’s desire to resolve disputes through dialogue, particularly regarding access to the Red Sea, which Ethiopia considers vital for its security and economic development. He also addressed recent border tensions and the strained relationship with Eritrea, which Ethiopia accuses of supporting TPLF factions and destabilizing the region, accusations Eritrea denies. The speech came amid heightened regional tensions, including Ethiopia’s concerns over territorial occupation and its strategic ambitions to regain access to the Red Sea, a goal linked to its 'Grand Strategy of the Two Waters.' Ethiopia’s internal situation remains volatile, especially in the Tigray region, where recent peace agreements have yet to fully stabilize the area. The Prime Minister highlighted that the situation in Tigray is fragile, with ongoing conflicts and the presence of Eritrean forces, and warned against a renewed war, emphasizing Ethiopia’s preference for peaceful resolution. The regional geopolitical landscape is complicated by Ethiopia’s ambitions, including recent agreements with Somaliland over access to the sea, and ongoing disputes with neighboring countries like Somalia and Egypt over water rights and territorial claims. Overall, Ethiopia’s government is alert to the threat of renewed conflict, which could involve proxy warfare and regional spillovers, especially as the country prepares for upcoming elections in 2026. The situation remains tense, with internal ethnic divisions, regional rivalries, and strategic ambitions fueling instability in the Horn of Africa.