Karen Khachanov, ranked 18th, is heavily favored to win his first-round match against Jesper de Jong, ranked 88th, at the 2026 ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament in Rotterdam. The match is part of the ATP 500 event played on indoor hard courts at Rotterdam Ahoy. Khachanov recently reached the third round of the Australian Open but has struggled for form since his Canadian Open final appearance last summer. De Jong, who started his season with losses in Hong Kong and Adelaide and was defeated in the Australian Open by Daniil Medvedev, has shown little recent form to challenge Khachanov. Predictions from data models give Khachanov an 84% chance of winning, with a 79% chance of winning the first set. Betting odds favor Khachanov at -629 on the moneyline, while De Jong is at +510. The recommended prediction is Khachanov to win in straight sets, with the top betting tip being over 21.5 total games in the match. The match is scheduled for Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET. Overall, Khachanov is expected to advance to the next round based on recent performance and simulation data.