Alphabet is preparing to launch Gemini 3.0, its next major AI model, expected before November 22, 2025, with CEO Sundar Pichai hinting at its imminent release by posting a 'thinking face' emoji on X, signaling a cautious approach to hype. The new model aims to improve coding, reasoning, and multimedia generation, potentially giving Google a competitive edge over OpenAI and reshaping the AI industry. Prediction markets like Polymarket are heavily betting on the launch, with a 69% chance estimated by traders that Gemini 3 will be released soon, raising questions about market influence and manipulation. While prediction markets are generally accurate, recent studies suggest they may be vulnerable to large trades from high-profile figures, which can skew prices and influence public perception. Google’s integration of Polymarket data into Google Finance indicates a strategic move to leverage market-based predictions. The launch could mark a significant industry shift, especially if Gemini 3 surpasses expectations and helps Google regain leadership in AI.